Who Will Win in the National League?

If you ask PECOTA, there will be no pennant races in the National League in 2015. In fact, four of the five teams that competed for the title last year will compete again this year, in the same configuration.

It does take particular interest in the injection of James Shields, Matt Kemp, et. al. into the Padres, lifting their projection into the Wild Card.

Here are the projected standings: 

NL East

Washington  88-74
Mets 86-76
Miami 83-79
Atlanta 80-82
Philadelphia 78-84

NL Central

St. Louis  89-73
Cubs 81-81
Pittsburgh 81-81

Milwaukee 80-82
Cincinnati 79-83

NL West

Dodgers  97-65
San Diego  85-77
San Francisco 84-78
Arizona  73-89
Colorado 71-91

With the league's best offense and defense, the Dodgers will run away with the West, according to the forecast.

The Nats, flipping Tanner Roark for Max Scherzer, nonetheless return to the field, which now includes the rejuvenated Mets and Marlins.

The Cubs and Pirates move inversely and meet in the middle.